Dow Futures are down a more modest 80 pts. Gold is up and oil and copper are down. The Euro is down a small amount as well.
Market Recap
The SNP 500 and Russell 2000 small cap indexes have made new lows for the year as the DOW was off 260 points at the close today. The SNP 500 was off 32 points finishing below 1100 for the first time in a year. Gold was up 27 dollars and oil was down 3% to 77.
European shares also finished lower by 1-2% and the Euro got obliterated today dropping 1% which is a big move in currency markets. The dollar rose against most major currencies as the flight to safety continues. 10 year treasury yields dropped to their lowest level in a few weeks at 1.784.
My Take
Bend over and grab your ankles! That is how the market felt today. We got a complete breakdown of the 1120 level on the SNP that had been providing support for the past 2 months. It looks like we are starting the next leg down in this bear market. I have been busy this morning but got to the computer in time to put on a short position on the Russell 2000 small cap index via RWM and also put on a short of the MSCI All World index via EFZ. I will buy more only if they go higher and I have set a 5% stop on them in case my trade goes against me. I anticipate we will get a quick and sharp drop down to 1040 as we have breached the 1100 level at the close today. I also got stopped out of my XLE position early on in the day for a 3% loss.
October traditionally has been the month with the most stock market crashes by far. I think this October will follow that script as stock traders are a superstitious bunch. The good news is however, that after crashing during October, the market finds it footing and rallies into the end of the year. The last quarter of the year is the best performing quarter of them all with average gains of 4%. That is the script I will follow for the time being unless things change.
Disclaimer: Nothing in this blog should be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities! Please do your own due dilligence before buying any stocks or bonds!
I have not yet seen a single blog on stocks, so I'll keep this one with me. +following.
ReplyDeleteHang Seng is going down! Take that subspace!
ReplyDeleteThis is bad news for Hang Seng. Rest in peace. The title "Hang Seng getting hanged tonight," has made me laugh uncontrollably for a few minutes so well done on that buddy, haha.
ReplyDeleteHaha, nice post!
ReplyDeleteI like your writing style and your blog!
+Follow
Nope. I'm going to only buy stocks you tell me to. Only because you told me not to. So there.
ReplyDeleteCool pic, not into stocks so much though :P
ReplyDeleteCool post&pic!!! :)
ReplyDeleteI'm still optimistic about China.
ReplyDeleteI don't know!
ReplyDeleteProbably just going to be a temporary dip
ReplyDeleteHow's 'tsk' for last words?
ReplyDeleteDamn. Back to buying gold I guess
ReplyDeletenice post
ReplyDelete+support
omg no! (i dont give a fuck)
ReplyDelete(but i support don't worry dude)
ReplyDeleteTo bad the econimy is fake anyway!
ReplyDeleteFunny, how are all those bailouts working out! I can't believe that banks are starting to charge a monthly fee just to have a checking account with them. Unbelievable.
ReplyDeleteFollowing
We are getting killed here today as well (almost 7% down today). -I'm from Argentina, i hope that answers your question :)-
ReplyDelete@Yeamie Waffles
ReplyDeleteThanks man, i thought it might be too easy but said what the hell.
@ALunatic Pope
ReplyDeleteWell, i just went short today, so it's probably time to buy stocks based on the dumb money indicator.
@heddin
ReplyDeleteGold, even after it's recent plunge is still one of the strongest markets out there right now. It's a great time to be buying gold I think.
@Noah Homola
ReplyDeleteBank of America's move is pretty ridicuouls in my opinion. My bank is also experimenting with a new ATM fee. I will take my business elsewhere if they do that.
@Hasidic Plumber
ReplyDeleteMan, it really looks bad out there. People are selling first and asking questions later. A good buying opportunity is coming however.
I don't believe this will affect me at all.
ReplyDeleteyeah, nothing ever stays down....patience is the key if you lost.....
ReplyDeleteas long as gold keeps solid i will do just fine
ReplyDeleteAugust was really bad, Here was a great increase in the purchase of gold as the best investment.
ReplyDeleteThe only thing I understood in this post was "stocks are dangerous."
ReplyDeleteThe world sounds depressing.
@Lemons Don't Make Lemonade
ReplyDeleteYou are exactly right, stocks are very dangerous, the good thing is however when stocks appear the most dangerous is oftentimes when it is time to buy. I suspect there will be a nice buying opportunity coming up in the next month or so.
Meh...
ReplyDeleteI better drink my own piss.
hahahaha nice post .
ReplyDeleteGreat post!
ReplyDeleteOh boy... Here we go again!
ReplyDeleteturns out that this day was the bottom and if you bought today you'd have made out pretty nicely
ReplyDelete